Friday, January 28, 2011

The shifting sands of high-speed rail

Here's the newest dilemma for high-speed rail as a national policy.  Build it in dribs and drabs all over the country on the eleven designated HSR corridors, or combine all the 'available' federal dollars for one rail corridor in the Northeast?

Needless to say, Mayor Bloomberg of New York City believes the Northeast corridor is entitled.  However, even Republican John Mica suggests that 20% of the US population is located in that corridor and the population density justifies a HSR system there. He has indicated that the Northeast corridor is the most appropriate site for HSR development.

We've talked about this before.  400 miles from Boston to Washington, D.C. Current projected cost $117 billion.  (My estimated cost, three times that much.)

Then, at this House Transportation Committee hearing, everyone piled on Amtrak.  How bad it is.  How much it costs the taxpayers.  Etc. etc.  All this would suggest that, somehow, the high-speed rail system will be different than Amtrak.  Will be profitable.  Will carry many more passengers. And so on.  The reasoning here is fallacious.  Note that most high-speed rail systems (China excepted) are based on successful existing passenger rail networks and systems with lots of interconnectivity and all the infrastructure in place.  For them High-Speed Rail is merely the icing on that cake for the most heavily used corridors.  

Amtrak is our version of a passenger rail system.  As a high-speed rail supporter, would you base your new 220 mph rail operations on top of Amtrak's system?  Probably not.  Amtrak is a huge drain on national resources and at the same time and has a very bad record of performance cost/effectiveness.  Adding high-speed rail on top of that would break the bank.

Here's another comment from Bloomberg: "But high-speed rail really only fits for certain parts of the country. But it’s something that’s good for all of us." What can he mean by that?  Is he suggesting that his part of the country is where high-speed rail really fits, to use his words? But, if he gets his train running north to Boston and south to Washington, it will be good for everyone in the US.   That reminds me of the old saying by GM's Charlie Wilson:  "What's good for General Motors is good for the country." Actually, he was misquoted by the press, but, you get the idea.

Bloomberg couldn't resist taking a jab at us for not emulating China sufficiently, since they are lending us the money to run Amtrak.  I fail to follow the logic, but, never mind.

So, in the next months, we may see a shift in national high-speed rail policy, with any funding permitted by the Republicans for this purpose going to the northeast.  That would leave none for us, here in California.  

No further comment at this time.
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High-Speed Rail Should Focus On Northeast, Say Politicians–And Involve Private Sector



(New York, NY — Kate Hinds, Transportation Nation) UPDATED WITH RENDELL COMMENTS Two days after President Obama called for bringing high-speed rail to 80% of Americans in 25 years, his approach was criticized as being too slow–and too diffuse–to make an impact.

The House Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure held a field hearing this morning at Grand Central Terminal with the title “Developing True High Speed Rail in the Northeast Corridor — Stop Sitting on Our Federal Assets.” Despite the snow, more than a dozen members of Congress came out to hear witnesses like New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg and former Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell testify in support of high-speed rail.

Committee Chair John Mica (R-FL) kicked things off by saying that the Northeast Corridor is “one of the most valuable and potentially productive federal assets in the United States–and that the Boston-to- DC corridor is home to 20% of the nation’s population. But Mica said the government’s current high-speed rail plans are on a “slow-speed schedule.”

John Mica, center, chairing a House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee meeting at Grand Central Terminal (Kate Hinds)

“This is our nation’s most congested corridor, on land and in the air,” he said. “And 70% of our chronically delayed air flights in the country — 70%, get this– start right here in the New York airspace.” If high-speed rail can take some of the pressure off short-hop flights, he said, it would ease up air traffic.

But Mica had harsh words for Amtrak, saying that federally-funded rail provider is not the entity that will bring America to the promised land of a fast train that will bring passengers from New York to Washington in under two hours.

“Let me tell you — this is my 19th year of following Amtrak — (it will) never be capable of developing the corridor to its true high-speed potential,” he said. “The task is too complex and too large-scale, and can only be addressed with the help of private sector expertise…and also (Amtrak) will never get the funding for it with the plan they’ve currently proposed.”

Mayor Bloomberg (who showed up late to the hearing because, in his words, “I’ve been up since 4:30 this morning implementing the Mayor’s program to prevent a drought this summer. Some people call it snow, but we have to look on the bright side”) said that he was a huge booster of high-speed rail.  And while he lauded the President’s plans to allocate $10 billion for it, he criticized the money as not being efficiently targeted.

“I understand the politics, everybody in this country wants to pull together, everybody contributes, and everybody wants to get the benefits,” Bloomberg said. “But in some cases the benefits are going to be in one part of the country and then spill over to the others.  Other endeavors, like the interstate highway system, and building airports– every city can share in that. But high-speed rail really only fits for certain parts of the country. But it’s something that’s good for all of us.”  He said that we needed to “make sure we have the structure and rules in place that don’t discourage private investment.”

This worried some, like labor leader Robert Scardelletti, who said “we do not understand how the public will benefit by allowing a private operator to take over one of Amtrak’s most successful routes.”  He also referred to the omnipresent comparisons between the United States and China. “They won’t need any environmental study. In fact, they don’t need anything…I don’t believe it’s proper for our government to compare ourselves to a Communist regime.”

“The Chinese must be doing something right,” Mayor Bloomberg snapped, “because they’re the ones that are loaning us the money so we can subsidize things like Amtrak, where if you took the amount of money we spent on Amtrak, divide it by the number of riders and offer everybody that amount of money if they walked, they’d mostly walk! This is ridiculous!”

But it seemed like everyone was on board with prioritizing Boston-to-Washington. As Governor Rendell said: “Making significant investments in the Northeast Corridor to achieve true high speed rail must be our number one priority. No other corridor in the country has the population density and ridership as well as the economic wherewithal to result in successful and likely profitable, high speed rail line….The Northeast Corridor will demonstrate the value of these investments to our entire nation.”